It’s Wednesday and we have four big line moves in college basketball along with one in the NHL. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (34-19 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
CBB - (705) ST. LOUIS at (706) VCU 7:00 ET CST
With VCU tied with Dayton for the fewest losses in the A-10 and St. Louis next to last for the most losses in the conference, it might appear vexing why the Rams would be a sinking home favorite from -22 to -20. For as lousy as St. Louis has been this season, in league play they are a stellar 9-5 ATS. Though VCU has won eight straight, they are only 4-3-1 ATS in that span. Even with this the Rams are 4-0 SU and ATS when hosting the Billikens and they covered -20.5 last year, which might be good enough.
Betting Trend – 91% backing VCU
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean VCU
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CBB – (735) OKLAHOMA ST. at (736) KANSAS ST. 9:00 ET ESPNU (side and total)
The largest totals shift of the day occurs in this contest, which has been lowered five points to 150. The Kansas State offense has gone cold, averaging just 67.3 PPG in their past eight outings, compared to 73.8 PPG on season. Match that with Oklahoma State showing a 8-2 UNDER mark in road games this season and this could be correct even with the severe drop. In spite of the Wildcats being 2-6 SU and ATS and the Cowboys at 8-1 (7-2 ATS) recently, K-State has blossomed from -1.5 to -3.5. Besides the recent play, know this, Big 12 home favorites are brutal a 15-36 ATS this season.
Betting Trend – 70% backing Over and 83% on Kansas State
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under and Oklahoma State covers
CBB – (743) OREGON at (744) CALIFORNIA 9:00 ET ESPN2
Not sure where this Pac-12 total will land, but trust me when I say it has been a fluid situation. Oddmakers sent these two clubs out at 128 and early this morning some sportsbooks had shot all the way up to 134. With more time passing, the total was adjusted downward to 131, but still three points higher than where it started. What is the right play? California is a sound defensive team, yet Oregon has many offensive weapons and are really skilled at scoring off turnovers, which I think they will sending the final score to close to 140.
Betting Trend – 97% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
NHL – (55) BOSTON at (56) ANAHEIM 10:35 ET NESN, FSPT
It is the suddenly battling Bruins against the floundering Ducks and the money line is following the hotter club. Boston has won four in a row since changing head coaches, while Anaheim is 3-6 SU in their last nine. With this, the Bruins have absolutely blown up from +100 to -125 ML road favorites. While I like the changes interim head coach Bruce Cassidy has made for the B’s, they have still lost five consecutive times to the Ducks and are 6-12 in revenge spot when they conceded four or more goals. My advice, if you like Anaheim, take them now, if you prefer Boston, wait to catch ML at lowest point.
Betting Trend – 66% backing Anaheim
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Boston
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 43-45 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 18-25-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 58-69-1 ATS