March Madness Final Four Best Value Plays on the Board

March 30, 2016

After seeing four No.1 seeds reach the Elite 8, only one advanced to the Final Four this past weekend as the March Madness continued, giving us our first-ever No. 10 seed in the tourney.

We have almost a whole week to determine the merits of the various aspects of the NCAA basketball odds and decided to look at what could be the best value plays as we start championship week in college hoops.

Each team believes at this juncture they are going to win two games and be crowned champions, but only one will be standing on April 4th for their “One Shining Moment”. What at this time looks like the best plays to make for NCAA basketball picks, let’s commence with the discussion in no particular order.

Oklahoma and Villanova Under the Total

This is a rematch from Dec.7th on Pearl Harbor Day in Hawai’i when Oklahoma dismantled Villanova 78-55. In that game the Sooners buried the Wildcats in a barrage of three-pointers, making 14 of 26, while Villanova, one trailing by double digits, could not toss shots in the nearby Pacific Ocean let alone a basket and was sickly 4 for 32 from behind the arc.

The opening total of 149.5 has been dropped to 147, as each team has played exceptional defense. Most of their numbers are reflective of what we have seen all season, but it has been how they have played which has been the difference and why they are here.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comIn both teams case, it has been the offense which has gotten the notoriety, but both have held opposing teams to only 40.5 percent shooting. That is a credit to the head coaches and the players listening. Villanova took Kansas out of almost everything they wanted to run with outstanding man to man defense and they were able to create excellent double teams on certain players favorite spots on the floor, which helped them cause 16 Jayhawks turnovers.

Oklahoma has been fabulous is switching man defense, not allowing penetration in the first 20 to 25 seconds of opposing teams offenses other than VCU, then the opponents have gotten panicky and started heaving three’s. With Nova 9-2 UNDER in a neutral court game when the total is 140 to 149.5 and the Sooners 14-4 UNDER on neutral courts the past two seasons, expect more of the same.

Prop Bet – Buddy Hield OVER on Points Scored

No lines published yet for this prop wager, but at this point, going against Buddy Buckets makes no sense. Oregon employed the right basic strategy in trying to make him a ball-handler and he had six turnovers. However, as long has his teammates also continue to make shots, even a team as good as Villanova cannot cover everyone, as we saw in previous matchup.

 

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