College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Nov. 29th

November 29, 2016

It is Championship Week in college football and we have all the early line moves to follow. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (384-306 of late and recent 157-133 mark) when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

CFB – Friday - (303) OHIO U. vs. (304) WESTERN MICHIGAN 7:00 ET  ESPN2

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		For the MAC championship, the total has risen two points to 58.5. That would suggest and rightly so Western Michigan will control this contest. It comes down to Ohio U. defense which has allowed 21.7 PPG this season, yet has given up 49 and 42 points the last two years to the Broncos. Not sure Bobcats have speed to slow Western Michigan.

Betting Trend – 65% backing Over

CFB –  Friday - (305) COLORADO vs. (306) WASHINGTON 9:00 ET  FOX

The two best defenses in the Pac-12 play for the title and appropriately the total has slipped from 60 to 58. How the total plays out will be a function of the defenses conceding field goals instead of touchdowns, as both teams will move the pigskin. Though Washington is 9-2 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game, not sure they reach 35 points.

Betting Trend – 58% backing Under

CFB – (311) NEW. MEXICO ST. at (312) SOUTH ALABAMA 1:00 ET  W- ESPN

This is a true bettor’s special as anyone looking at the total of this contest needs another hobby. Why they would take the total for this SBC affair from 56 to 58, is forecasting how the New Mexico State defense will play, permitting 50 PPG on the road. But how much effort does South Alabama use against such a weak opponent?

Betting Trend – 77% backing Over

CFB – (317) OKLAHOMA STATE at (318) OKLAHOMA 12:30 ET FOX

Big 12 title on the line and Oklahoma has really slid as favorite, down to -11 from opening number of -13.5. What football bettors are looking at is the Sooners 122nd-rated pass defense taking on Oklahoma State’s 6th ranked passing attack. If successful, the Cowboys could make visitor 5-0 ATS in Bedlam game.

Betting Trend – 71% backing Oklahoma State

CFB –(323) LOUISIANA TECH at (324) WEST. KENTUCKY 12:00 ET  ESPN

The Conference USA title game was hit hard early, with Western Kentucky elevated from -7.5 to -10. Louisiana Tech was playing basically as well as the Hilltoppers until losing finale to Southern Miss. Nevertheless, Western Kentucky has gone into another level in ripping teams by 34 PPG and is playing at home with revenge.

Betting Trend – 88% backing Western Kentucky

CFB – (325) TEMPLE at (326) NAVY 12:00 ET  ABC

Intriguing dichotomy how both AAC finalists are approaching the total, which has fallen two points to 62. Temple is on 4-0 UNDER roll, while Navy’s high-scoring offense arrives at 6-1 OVER. The outcomes hinges on the Owls keeping the Midshipmen out of the end zone and Temple exploiting Navy’s weak pass defense. Chances are both offenses will shine. io

Betting Trend – 62% backing Under

CFB – (327) FLORIDA at (328) ALABAMA  4:00 ET CBS

This hardly feels like a championship showdown in the SEC, with Alabama so much better than everyone in their conference. With Florida having little offense and ravaged with injures on defense, the Gators are not thought to have any bite and were shifted two points higher to +24. Expect Florida to be fired up, but the Tide to roll in the second half.

Betting Trend – 71% backing Alabama

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 283-267-3

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 178-151-2

Line Movement Direction Record – 481-447-5

Leave a Comment