College Football Early Line Moves and Betting Trends for Nov.15th

November 15, 2016

The early college football line moves are a little smaller than in past weeks, but are no less definitive. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (356-279 of late and recent 139-105 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

CFB – Friday - (317) UNLV at (318) BOISE STATE 9:00 ET  ESPN2

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		With Wyoming being upset by UNLV last Saturday and having to face San Diego State this week, if the Cowboys lose and Boise State wins, they take back control of the MWC Mountain Division. The betting populace likes their chances and are riding the Broncos from -27 to -28.5. Boise State however is only 2-9 ATS as home favorite the last two years.

Betting Trend – 52% backing UNLV

CFB - (329) IOWA at (330) ILLINOIS 12:00 ET  BTN

After watching Iowa upset Michigan and Illinois being harpooned by Wisconsin, it made little sense for the Hawkeyes to slip two points to -9.5. Then we learned original Illini starting quarterback Wes Lunt is expected to start and bettors expressed their thoughts on his value. With adjusted spread off key number and Illinois 1-8 ATS at home off a road game, the situation favors Iowa.

Betting Trend – 93% backing Iowa

CFB – (351) SAN DIEGO STATE at (352) WYOMING 3:30 ET  CBSSN

No other way to state this, the San Diego State is a runaway truck going down a steep grade and they have been pounded from -7.5 to -10 at Wyoming. The Cowboys defense was exposed by UNLV and the Aztecs have the running game to put the hurt on them again. S.D. State is 9-2 ATS off MWC thumping of 21 or more points.

Betting Trend – 98% backing San Diego State

CFB – (371) ARIZONA STATE at (372) WASHINGTON  7:30 ET  FOX

Everyone assumes Washington will pulverize Arizona State off first loss of the season and they were moved from -25 to -27. The Huskies might destroy the Sun Devils, but you need to know teams losing first game in November are notoriously bad bets afterwards and Washington is 0-10 SU and ATS against Arizona State since 2002.

Betting Trend – 74% backing Washington

CFB –(391) TULSA at (392) CENTRAL FLORIDA 8:00 ET  ESPNN

The line could not be more clearly drawn which of these AAC teams has the better offense and the better defense. The wagering public early sided with defense and the home team and took Central Florida from +2.5 to +1. Just not convinced the Knights can contain the Golden Hurricane, who is also 9-2 ATS on visitors role.

Betting Trend – 70% backing Central Florida

CFB – (397) TEXAS at (398) KANSAS 3:30 ET  ABC/ESPN2

This is the poorest game being telecast on ABC, at least to a portion of the country in recent memory. Texas wins and is bowl eligible and it is justified the Longhorns have enough offense to cover against Kansas even if they were lifted from -22.5 to -24. Texas knows it can win, but the Jayhawks are 3-1-1 ATS at home.

Betting Trend – 57% backing Kansas

CFB – (411) OREGON at (412) UTAH  2:00 ET PAC-12N

With Utah still in contention for Pac-12 South title and Oregon showing no signs of interest in playing any defense, the Utes are up from -12 to -13.5. It is near certainty the Ducks will only grow as underdogs with one the nation’s worst defenses and a worse attitude to match. Oregon is a pathetic 1-8-1 ATS this season.

Betting Trend – 97% backing Utah

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 265-250-2

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 167-142

Line Movement Direction Record – 444-407-4

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