Punxsutawney Phil “predicted” six more weeks of winter after seeing his shadow. For line moves, we found two NBA totals that really have moved and a pair of West Coast college basketball favorites that are now underdogs. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA - (703) ATLANTA at (704) HOUSTON 8:00 ET TNT
With your typical Houston game total score already at 222 points, some of those betting basketball are counting on an even higher score as the Rockets host Atlanta and moved the total to 225.5. What those making NBA picks are counting on is the Hawks continued lack of defense, which has them giving up 119.2 PPG in their past five outings. For my money, the wild card is the Atlanta offense, which has been held to under 94 points twice in their last three contests. Certainly do not expect Houston to play that kind of defense, nevertheless, the Hawks are 18-5 UNDER after playing a road game this season.
Betting Trend – 64% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
NBA – (707) GOLDEN STATE at (707) L.A. CLIPPERS 10:30 ET TNT
In the second tilt on TNT, this Pacific Division contest also has a rising total, up three points to 228. No question the Clippers matador defense has been on full display in their past five outings in permitting a sickly 121.4 PPG, which includes 144 at Golden State last Saturday. However, NBA players don’t like to be embarrassed and with L.A. back home after five-game road trip, I surmise they will have something to prove defensively. Besides, Golden State is 18-6 UNDER on the road this season and 15-2 UNDER away after scoring 100 points or more in five straight games.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
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CBB – (755) LOYOLA – MARYMOUNT at (756) SAN DIEGO 10:00 ET CampusInsiders.com
In West Coast Conference play, Loyola-Marymount has been flipped from +1 to a -1.5 point road favorite at San Diego. Both clubs are at or just below .500 and definitely below break even in conference play. Without knowledge of any injury for the Toreros, the only rationale I can come up with for this line move is the Lions are more stable offensively at 45.5 percent shooting. San Diego is more up and down than a teeter-totter, as in their past eight outings, five times they have connected on 48% or more of shot attempts and in the other three encounters, 32% or less. I’m calling for a good shooting night from the Toreros, who are 16-4 ATS playing against a team with a losing record.
Betting Trend – 92% backing San Diego
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Diego
CBB – (763) US-DAVIS at (764) CAL-POLY 11:00 ET
UC-Davis is back in first place under coach Jim Les in the Big West Conference and they opened as two-point road faves at Cal-Poly, before those betting basketball shifted them to +1.5. The Aggies only beat the Mustangs 68-64 as seven-point home favorites last month and Cal-Poly is respectable 4-3 SU at home despite 6-15 season record. I’m going against the line movement, thinking UC-Davis knows how to win compared to their rivals and backed with the knowledge the Mustangs are 1-10 ATS revenging a road loss.
Betting Trend – 57% backing UC-Davis
Doug’s VPID Take – UC-Davis covers
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 29-24 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 14-15-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 40-42-1 ATS