Betting NFL Football – Trends to Watch for September

September 13, 2016

By Marc Lawrence, who has Betting NFL football trends to follow in opening weeks.

 

HOME TEAMS 

Keep an eye on (Good): Though they are not as strong as prior years, you still have to like what Baltimore has to offer when home this month, sporting 28-17 ATS record. They Buffalo in their building in the opener.

Off a strong finish to last season, Detroit will look to build on 29-17 ATS record in the Motor City with lone home game against Tennessee (9/18).

This is no longer the San Francisco franchise that came barreling out of the gate at 26-16 ATS, but they will have a chance to improve on record, hosting Los Angeles on Monday night lidlifter, bringing back old Cali rivalry.

Seattle has a pair of home games before the weather turns to rain next month and should great opportunity to better record versus Miami (9/11) and the 49ers (9/25).

Keep an eye on (Bad): Off three consecutive 10 or more win seasons, Arizona might not make next year’s list facing New England without Tom Brady (9/11) and Tampa Bay (9/18), looking to put 16-24 ATS mark behind them in the desert.

NFC East rivals Washington and the New York Giants have not done the job against the sportsbooks to start the year, with spread records of 18-29 and 19-29 respectively. The Giants will try and be better against New Orleans (9/18) and the Redskins a week later. The Skins have a couple of chances also for improvement in the opening Monday matchup with Pittsburgh and six days later with hated Dallas.

AWAY TEAMS 

Keep an eye on (Good): If Washington is not good beating the oddsmaker at home, than their chances take a hit facing the Cowboys (9/18) who are 31-17 ATS on the road.

Kansas City is also comfortable away from home as 32-18 ATS mark shows, but their lone road assignment this month is at Houston, whom they whipped 30-0 in the playoffs.

Bad: Maybe moving to Los Angeles will improve the Rams road woes (15-30 ATS), yet it is still the same team with very ordinary ability.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Though Detroit closed 6-2 last season, not many are thinking the Lions will make improvement this season. Slow starts are the norm for Detroit who is 17-30 ATS on road in opening month and they will be at Indianapolis (9/11) and at Green Bay (9/25).

FAVORITES

Keep an eye on (Good): Seattle is known for good starts and is 30-17 ATS in opening month when handing out points. They should three chances to improve, hosting Miami and San Francisco, with at Los Angeles the sandwich game.

Bad: The Rams have not worn the favorites hat well in September at miserable 12-27 ATS. Possibly fortunately for them, only against the Niners in the season opener will they be favored.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Carolina is 10-19 ATS as September favorite, but is 3-2 ATS the past two years and will be three times this month. Only worry is Super Bowl loser hangover.

Chicago is stumbling starters at 14-22 ATS and will be home favorite in Week 2 on Monday night against Philadelphia.

UNDERDOGS 

Good: Dallas has been a sharp 26-11 ATS in this role, but might not have opportunity. The Cowboys will be favored at home versus the Giants and Bears and are close to Pick in Week 2 trip to Washington. Stay tuned.

Keep an eye on (Good): Kansas City will be oddsmakers choice in first two home games and it is up in the air what role they will play in return trip to Houston, after destroying them in postseason.

DIVISION 

Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have been well prepared for AFC West action to begin the season with 23-12 ATS mark. Good chance to improve in Game 1 with San Diego in town.

 

Doug Upstone of VPID also contributed this article.

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