This is the last full weekend of betting college basketball, with many of the small conferences wrapping up play this weekend and starting conference tournaments next week at various times.
Wagering on conference tournaments is a whole different discussion, thus we should enjoy today and take advantage of what we have. This includes being on the lookout for NCAA basketball picks on money line underdogs that can win outright. We have enjoyed success the last couple Saturday’s and will go after more today. Though dogs like Oklahoma, Georgetown, Vanderbilt and Florida State are all capable of winning on the money line, at +110 or less this morning, not much value in betting them and our intention is to find the bigger score.
Here are four contests to consider against the NCAA basketball odds on the money line from A+ rated Bookmaker.eu. Again, we just need to hit two to show a profit.
If North Carolina were to lose later today, the winner of this ACC encounter moves first place tie. Miami-Fl. has a strong backcourt with Sheldon McClellan, Angel Rodriguez and JaQuan Newton coming off the bench. However, Louisville has a very disruptive defense that can create not only turnovers, but can wear on you mentally and cause you to take bad shots. Though the Hurricanes rebounded after pummeling by North Carolina last Saturday with victory over Virginia, Rick Pitino’s players like the physical stuff and how the Miami players respond could be the difference in the game. Look for Louisville to be very aggressive and they are 22-3 on the money line after a game with five or less offensive rebounds.
Might be a good spot for coach Sean Miller to drop the whining act and just coach his team to win on the road so the opposing teams fans have no need to storm the court. Arizona had won six in a row before losing at Colorado and is playing arguably the hottest team in the Pac-12 in Utah. The Utes have rattled off five consecutive wins themselves, three by double digits. The Wildcats have won five in a row at Utah and if they come in half as mad as their coach has been this season, with the talent Arizona has, they should win this contest. No saying this will be easy, but the ‘Cats are 15-1 on the money line versus teams making 48% or more of their shots the last three seasons.
There are reasons not to be all that excited about Maryland anymore. After being manhandled at home by Wisconsin , becoming Minnesota’s first Big Ten victim and narrowly escaping Michigan last Sunday, even ESPN grad and super fan Scott Van Pelt is nervous. How the Terrapins storm into Mackey Arena and hand Purdue their second loss of the season is by Melo Trimble and Rasheed Sulalmon taking charge by making shots and taking full advantage of their skills against a weaker Boilermakers backcourt. In the first game at College Park, the Terps were the aggressor and spent most of the day at the charity stripe. If Maryland does this no reason they do not move to 14-3 on the money line after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.
The feature game of the day is this one in the ACC. Have to admit to seeing Virginia as a 3.5-point home favorite was mildly surprising, expecting -2. That is fine, because if North Carolina wins, that is just more cash in our pockets. Both these teams have been hyped too heavily, and why I say that is despite the parity amongst the top 150 teams in the country, both these teams have multiple losses this month. Yes, most were very close, but it is still a defeat. The Tar Heels have the big guys in the frontcourt to win this game and as long as Marcus Paige holds his own with Virginia’s Malcolm Brogdon, North Carolina can move to 33-5 on the money line versus teams averaging 53 or less shots a game after 15 or more contests into the season.