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Well as I have stated all year long in the NBA, which is why their brand sucks, the regular season was simply a six month exhibition schedule before the Cavs and Warriors met in the NBA Finals.  No surprise here.  

We could have skipped all the regular season games and just had these two teams play 1 game a month for 7 months and determined who was the best team.  Boston got a severe beat down on Thursday and never looked like an NBA team in that game at any point.  I think North Carolina’s men’s team may have given Cleveland a better game.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comGolden State added Kevin Durant to the fray this year so they have that going for them this time around, and no doubt they are the better team, however Cleveland has the best player in the NBA, (please no comparisons to Micheal Jordan folks, there isn’t one), Irving is a stud, Kevin Love can play, and they have a strong supporting cast and decent bench.

While they are a huge underdog in this NBA Finals, I can assure you despite the revenge factor and 12-0 run through the Western Conference Golden State managed, the Cavs will come to play and put up a better than average fight and compete at a high level, and go up against their old coach in the process, who knows them better than anyone.

Here are some Playoff Stats:

  • Golden State went 8-4 ATS in their 12 games, and 9-3 ATS on the OVER
  • Cleveland went 8-4-1 ATS in their 13 games and went 9-4 ATS on the OVER

NBA FINALS FUTURES BETS TO WIN  (Westgate Las Vegas) 

  • Golden State -260
  • Cleveland +220

Opening Odds – Game 1

Game 1 @ Golden State – June 1

Warriors – 7 ** Total 225

At days end Golden State has busted their rear ends to get to the Finals and Take care of unfinished business.  The Warriors have the better overall team, better coach, and the better defense and the better offense.  That is the bottom line.  While I do not think they will sweep Cleveland and I do not think the Cavs will be embarrassed, I do think the only play here is to lay the -260.  Again, never count out LeBron James, they pulled off a miracle last year and anything can happen in the NBA and they will not go quietly in the night by any means.

Series Bet – LAY IT – Warriors -260.  I would say in 6 games.

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It is all about baseball for line moves this holiday weekend and we have money line, totals and series wagering to cover. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (132-84, 61.1% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week and have a great Memorial Day weekend.

MLB – (915) TEXAS at (916) TORONTO  7:07 ET  FSSW, RSN

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comWe usually do not cover line moves that involve injured players, but we are making an exception here. One would have to surmise the sportsbooks knew third baseman Josh Donaldson and shortstop Troy Tulowitzki were ready to return when they posted -125 money line on Toronto, however, that news has baseball bettors giddy about the Blue Jays who have been beefed up to -150. Toronto will start Mike Bolsinger (0-2, 6.32 ERA) after a winning road trip and Texas turns to A.J. Griffin (4-1, 5.02), having lost four of five after 10-game winning streak. I will lean with Griffin and the Rangers who are 16-4 after dark and 7-0 after three or more straight setbacks.

Betting Trend – 92% backing Toronto

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Texas

MLB – (917) OAKLAND at (918) N.Y. YANKEES  7:05 ET  CSCA, WPIX

The total on this AL action is rising like the heat on outspoken (that’s one way to put it) LeVar Ball, going from 9 to 9.5. Why this is occurring is it starts with New York averaging 6.0 RPG at Yankee Stadium and Oakland surrendering 5.1 in road adventures. Next comes Masahiro Tanaka (5-3, 6.56) having an ERA of 10.56 this month and A’s starter Kendall Gravemen (2-2, 3.83) having an ERA of almost 5 (4.97) since coming off the DL in April 27th. With these two 1 & 2 in home runs going against these cold hurlers, the line movement looks accurate.

Betting Trend – 73% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Over

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MLB – CHIC. CUBS (+135) at L.A. DODGERS (-160) (Series Betting)

Without a doubt a much anticipated series this weekend, with these teams having met in the playoffs last year. The Dodgers will be favored in each game it seems, though the pitching matchups are very close based on current form, with Arrieta vs. Wood, Lackey vs. McCarthy and Lester vs. Kershaw. The Cubs offense is starting to churn and they might sneak this one out, yet hard to go against Los Angeles at 18-8 at home.

Betting Trend – 75% backing Chicago

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean L.A. Dodgers

MLB – ST. LOUIS (+105) at COLORADO (-125) (Series Betting)

Similar to the series listed above, the starting pitching matchups could hardly be tighter. One difference is Colorado will not be the favorite in each contest and while they have talented young pitchers, they have not thrown in what would be considered many meaningful series, though it is only May. The Cardinals deplorable defense is a big concern, nonetheless, I will lean with the Redbirds experience to pull them through.

Betting Trend – 67% backing St. Louis

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean St. Louis

MLB – TAMPA BAY (-115) at MINNESOTA (-105)  (Series Betting)

Minnesota is in first place, playing at home and has the slightly better offense, yet is the underdog to a .500 Tampa Bay crew. Why, mostly because the Rays seem to have the starting pitching edges. Though the Twins starters are a very respectable 6th in ERA in the AL, the Rays are No.1 at 3.62. One advantage for Minnesota is they could come from behind against Tampa Bay, since they have the second-most blown saves in the AL. The concern is the Twinkies are just 11-13 at Target Field and unless they hit, they could struggle. That aside, I will play a hunch win Minnesota.

Betting Trend – 75% backing Minnesota

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Minnesota

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 119-123-8 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 68-67-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 183-179-11 ATS

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For line moves today we have the full gamut, which includes at the big games. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (128-82, 60.9% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (507) CLEVELAND at (508) BOSTON  8:30 ET  TNT (side and total)

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Three things we know: 1) The Celtics are harder to prepare for without Isaiah Thomas than Golden State, according to Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue. (From the Lou Holtz book of “Every opponent is tremendous”) 2) Bettors disagree with Lue and took Cavs from -9 to -10.5. 3) We should expect plenty of points with total up two digits to 216.5. Personally, I look for Boston to hang in and falter in the fourth quarter and a rising total makes sense.

Betting Trend – 79% backing Cleveland and 79% on Over

Doug’s VPID TakeCleveland covers and Over

NHL – (61) OTTAWA at (62) PITTSBURGH  8:00 ET  NBCSN

Pittsburgh has gone from a -185 Game 7 favorite to -205. There is little doubt who has the more talent, but Ottawa this spring has been as gritty as they come. The Senators are 0-5 in Game 7′s, however, the Pens are just 3-7 on home ice in Game 7′s themselves. A modest vote for the home team.

Betting Trend – 87% backing Pittsburgh

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Pittsburgh

MLB – (959) ARIZONA at (960) MILWAUKEE  8:10 ET  FSAZ, FSWI

My initial reaction to the total falling in this contest was, “Say What?”.  Having Robbie Ray (3-3, 3.91 ERA) and Zack Davies (5-2, 5.44) in the same game sound like it has slow-pitch scoring potential. Granted, both starters have been better of late which accounts for the real reason of a sinking total, yet both are combustible from start to start. With the Snakes 18-8 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 and Davies 13-4 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5, you can figure what I am betting on.

Betting Trend – 78% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Over

MLB – (969) DETROIT at (970) HOUSTON  8:10 ET  FSD, RTSW (side and total)

Mike Fiers (1-2, 5.14) vs. Justin Verlander (4-3, 4.39 ERA) sounds about as fair as a swimsuit competition between Kate Upton and Mama June. Yet because Verlander has an ERA of 7.24 in five road starts, Houston has gone from a Pick (-105) to -125. With this the total is also on the move from 8.5 to 9. Both starting hurlers have enjoyed success versus the opposing batting order, but I’ll bet Verlander has a good outing and pray the bullpen does not blow it. All the numbers otherwise shout for an OVER.

Betting Trend – 53% backing Detroit and 58% on Over

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Detroit, Play Over

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 116-122-8 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 67-67-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 177-179-11 ATS

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Intriguing Line Moves and Free Picks for May 24th

May 24, 2017

All quiet on the other sports fronts today, thus for line moves, it will be a summer day with our full attention on baseball. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (124-80, 60.7% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow. MLB – (901) [...]

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Betting Baseball, Cubs the Choice in Two Betting Scenarios on Hump Day

May 24, 2017

Neither San Francisco nor Chicago could have imagined this is where they be in the standings as Memorial Day approaches. The same goes for those betting baseball, shocked to see these two as money-burners. The Giants are 20-27, in fourth place in the NL West  and down -6.8 units. The World Series champion Cubs are [...]

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Intriguing Line Moves and Free Picks for May 23rd

May 23, 2017

For Tuesday we have a full slate of action and line moves on the diamond, hardwood and ice. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (123-77, 61.5% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow. NBA – (505) BOSTON at (506) CLEVELAND  8:30 ET [...]

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Why You Should Be Watching and Betting the Stanley Cup Playoffs Over the NBA Playoffs

May 23, 2017

If you are a typical sports bettor, you crave the action. Once the regular season ends in the NHL and NBA, casual fans start paying attention more because the games are meaningful. While I am an ardent fan of the NHL, I do not dismiss the NBA and over the course of the regular season [...]

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You Bet Sports? Stop Messing Around and Become VPID Inner Circle Member and Build Your Bankroll

May 22, 2017

That is right, quit clowning around! Give yourself the Right Tools to win with introductory offer of only $9.00 for SEVEN Days at www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com! Get the days Hottest Systems, Top Trends and Wise Guys Plays and more……….Plus FIVE of the Best, Most Consistent Winning Handicapping Experts that are Documented (3rd party, not foolishly by themselves like others) for your protection and fact-checking. Who are [...]

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