We went thru the basketball board for both college and pro and here are the biggest line moves for today. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (391-319 of late) when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA –  (703) BOSTON at (704) ORLANDO 7:05 ET CSN-NE, FSFL

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Though Boston has fallen from 4th to 17th in the defensive metric of points allowed per 100 possessions from last year, the total in this Eastern Conference encounter has dropped from 202 to 197. No question Orlando is the driving force in the adjusted total, ranking 28th in field goal percentage (42.6%) and next to last in scoring at 94.6 PPG. With not enough scorers, the Magic play slower and are 25th in shot attempts. My numbers line up with adjusted total and this could go either way.

Betting Trend – 69% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Over

NBA – (715) SACRAMENTO at (716) DALLAS  8:35 ET CSN-CA, FSSW  (side and total)

Both these teams should have a better records than they currently do. Sacramento has a roster of players not interested in defense and Dallas has no offense to speak of. Somehow, this combination has led to the Kings being a growing road favorite from -2 to -4 and the total leaping from 190 to 194.5. Though Sacramento is hardly trustworthy as a road fave, they are off two bad shooting games and should have success against Mavs defense, which in turn leads to higher scoring affair.

Betting Trend – 91% backing Sacramento and 90% on Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Sacramento covers and Over

CBB – (745) CREIGHTON at (746) NEBRASKA 9:00 ET  BTN

Creighton is 8-0 and ranked 10th and travels just under 60 miles on Interstate 80 to play in-state rival Nebraska in Lincoln. This is the Bluejays first true road game and they have slid from -6 to -4 road favorites. The Cornhuskers do not have near the shooting prowess of the counterparts, making 42.5%, compared to Creighton at 54.1% and have to rely more on defending. Even with a slower pace, if you make more shots, that is a big advantage, which makes the Bluejays more appealing at lower price.

Betting Trend – 85% backing Creighton

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Creighton

CBB – (757) CS-FULLERTON at (758) SAN DIEGO 10:00 ET  Campusinsiders.com

Both these Left Coast clubs have 3-5 records this season and the sportsbooks sent out San Diego as 3.5-point favorites. After the public looked this over, they helped adjust the college basketball odds to the Toreos at -1. San Diego is only shooting 40.7%, but the Titans are hardly reliable when it comes to betting with a 16-32 ATS mark as underdogs and 2-9 ATS in nonconference road games.

Betting Trend – 85% backing CS- Fullerton

Doug’s VPID Take – San Diego covers

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 291-279-3

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 179-153-2

Line Movement Direction Record – 495-450-5

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Today’s Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Free Plays

VPID Freebie – Heat +9

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To paraphrase from Fox Sports announcer Tim Brando, “the road has been unkind” to Carolina this season. In doing any NHL betting, is makes a lot of sense to understand the Hurricanes road woes.

Carolina will be in Anaheim tonight, not far from Disneyland and they have a 3-12 SU away record. The best way to describe the Hurricanes offense is Mickey Mouse, and not in jovial way, but in the derogatory sense.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Carolina only scores 2.5 goals a game at home and they tumble to 2.18 when playing on the road. The NHL odds at one of the most trusted sportsbooks, 5Dimes, has the Hurricanes at +150 road underdogs to the Ducks.

Those oddsmakers are looking at the same numbers you are. Carolina puts no pressure on opposing defenses, which is why only one team has few power play chances and just two teams have scored fewer than the five goals the ‘Canes have with a man advantage.

This comes from not applying enough pressure in the offensive zone. Carolina is middle of the road in shots per contest at 30, however, the quality of those attempts is insufficient, with too many long distance blasts that the opposing goalie can handle with ease. This plays directly into the coach Bill Peters squad being 28th (out of 30) in goals scored when playing at even strength.

Anaheim has not been sterling with a 12-14 SU mark, but they are 22-5 at home after two consecutive road games, while Carolina is 0-9 as visitors when the total is 5 or less this season.

For NHL picks, almost impossible to back Carolina away from home and we will not on Wednesday night.

 

Doug Upstone wrote this for www.sportsbookreview.com

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One of the early surprises in the NHL to this juncture has been the Ottawa Senators. The Sens are the third-best bet in the league, but what has propelled them to second place in the Atlantic Division?

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Ottawa was a decent team a year ago with 38-35-9 record and their goal differential of -11 was better than Detroit’s (-13), who made the Stanley Cup playoffs.

As of Dec. 6th, the Senators were 15-9-2 and only four points behind Montreal in the Atlantic. When trying to find reasons to back Ottawa in the short term for NHL picks, the picture becomes quite murky.

Offensively, the Sens are 23rd in the league at 2.35 goals a game. There leading point producer is defenseman Erik Karlsson, which overall is not ideal situation, however, a good chunk of his points come on the power play, making him a valuable asset and he is as talented a blueliner offensively as there is. After that, center Kyle Turris is the leading goal scorer, however, he is only Ottawa player with double digits (11) in finding the back of the net.

On defense, the Senators are merely ordinary at 16th in goals allowed, with goalie Craig Anderson mostly average, but hard to pick on him these days with wife battling cancer.

Ottawa’s strongest suit is killing penalties, ranked sixth in that department, while coming in 17th in power play percentage.

With the Senators in the midst of playing six away games in next eight, including three on the West Coast, not a believer on how they will hold up against the NHL odds at A+ rated Heritage or any other sportsbook.

With Ottawa 62-71 on the road the last 3+ seasons, they are not horrible, but if opposing team can score and has Top 10 power play, have to look to play against the Senators.

 

Doug Upstone wrote this for www.sportsbookreview.com

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Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Powerhouse Cappers

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www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	When it comes to sports betting, losing is what is hard, not the winning. That is why Vegas Pro Insiders Daily has assembled a group of handicapping experts, who have won long term and are among the best in the industry. These are honest handicappers, who have integrity and are well-known for both winning over time and in bursts, to help you from going on long losing streaks that burn up your bankroll. All plays are GUARANTEED, to make sure you receive the best possible value for your cash. Enjoy and let’s get started and we also have free picks.

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Today’s Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Free Plays

VPID Freebie - Pistons -6

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Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Dec. 6th

December 6, 2016

We have seen some revolving numbers for line moves and we have all the early action covered in football. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (391-319 of late) when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow. CFB –  (103) ARMY vs. [...]

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Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Marvelous Monday

December 5, 2016

Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Powerhouse Cappers  Honest -Transparent -Winners   When it comes to sports betting, losing is what is hard, not the winning. That is why Vegas Pro Insiders Daily has assembled a group of handicapping experts, who have won long term and are among the best in the industry. These are honest handicappers, [...]

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Total is the Play Between Sabres and Capitals for Betting Hockey

December 5, 2016

With three money lines over -200 among the four games available for betting hockey, have to delve a little deeper to find the best value on Monday night and like what we have uncovered. This will be Sabres second trip into Washington in 11 days and they drop the puck in Buffalo this Friday. The [...]

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NFL Line Moves and Free Picks for Week 13

December 4, 2016

After a pretty quiet start to the week, there has been an avalanche of line moves since Wednesday and we have them all for you to consider. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (384-309 of late) when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you [...]

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Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Scintillating NFL Sunday

December 4, 2016

Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Powerhouse Cappers  Honest -Transparent -Winners When it comes to sports betting, losing is what is hard, not the winning. That is why Vegas Pro Insiders Daily has assembled a group of handicapping experts, who have won long term and are among the best in the industry. These are honest handicappers, who [...]

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