The Stanley Cup Playoffs continue to be pure insanity not just a wagering perspective but in many other ways as well. And for the most part, not many are paying attention to the happenings.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		ESPN just laid off three of their main hockey writers which shows a general lack of interest in the sport, however, after the underdogs were 22-20, +9.88 units in the first round of the playoffs, the dogs have continued to rule in the next series of games with a 6-2 mark and up +5.27 units. For those studying the NHL odds daily, this is even crazier than normal.

As you read this favorites Washington and Anaheim are down 0-2, losing both games at home, making it a real uphill climb to advance to Conference Finals, while the New York Rangers were the best road team in the regular season and they lost both contests at Ottawa when having one and two goal leads in the third period!

The only aspect that has flattened out somewhat in this round is the totals. After the UNDER was 20-13-9 in the opening round, thus far the OVER is 4-3-1.

Maybe all this will suddenly change and normalcy will return to those making NHL picks, but I would not bet on it!

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First place Houston looks to wrap series against Oakland before Texas arrives in H-Town. Those betting baseball have a bit of a more difficult choice than it appears in the series finale.

Oakland might be having a lousy road trip against MLB odds, but they have a good starting pitcher for Sunday, which gives them a chance.

Pitching Matchup – Hahn vs. Keuchel

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Oakland has lost three of four of Jesse Hahn’s (1-1) starts, but don’t blame him since he has an ERA of 2.08 and his WHIP is sensational t 0.96. In those defeats, Hahn has only permitted six runs in 20 innings of work. The A’s fell either from a lack of scoring (two total runs in two starts) or bullpen failure (8 runs allowed in one game). Hahn does not have overpowering stuff, but when his command is sharp be can stop opposing batters, like he has with them batting .174 against him and he’s been taken deep just once.

Dallas Keuchel has rebounded from so-so 2016 campaign just like many thought he would. The 29-year old left-hander is 4-0 with a miniscule 1.22 ERA and the opposition is at a lowly .175 against his tosses. Keuchel rarely breaks 90 MPH but all his pitches have excellent movement. Having a 3-to-1 K/W ratio, his command is outstanding and seldom has to give in to hitters.

A’s Offense Lacks Continuity, Which is What the Astros Have

Through April 28th, Oakland was averaging 3.8 runs per contest and in their previous seven outings they have been at 2.7 RPG. The Athletics are in the Top 5 in the AL in home runs, however, they are only 12th in on-base percentage. Because they lack plate discipline (11th in walks and 3rd in strikeouts), when they do not go deep, they do not score many runs.

 

CONTINUE READING

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We have some line moves in the NBA and frankly one is absolutely puzzling. Seeing it is the weekend, we also have MLB series wagering to look into. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (92-53 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week.

NBA – (507) L.A. CLIPPERS at (508) UTAH  10:35 ET  ESPN

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	In spite of the lowest closing total being 195.5 in this series, the opener for Game 6 from the sportsbooks was 191.5. That quickly gave way to a larger number, which now sets at 194. Maybe the thought was the Utah defense will really stifle the Clippers, but I’m not seeing it, because Los Angeles best chance is to win with offense. With the Clips 16-5 OVER having lost two of their last three games, I will back the larger total.

Betting Trend – 79% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Over

NBA – (509) BOSTON at (510) CHICAGO  8:05 ET  ESPN

With Rajon Rondo out since Game 2 and Boston closing as -2.5 and -1.5 point favorites in Chicago in Games 3 and 4, winning and covering both, naturally they would be favored again. Granted, the Bulls made valiant efforts in both overcoming 20-point deficits, nevertheless, they still lost. That is why I was flabbergasted to see oddsmakers open this contest as Pick, before it was altered to -3 for the Celtics. It is a given Chicago will go all out to win facing elimination, but haven’t they tried almost everything in the last three contests to do the same?

Betting Trend – 91% backing Boston

Doug’s VPID Take – Boston covers

MLB – BALTIMORE (+135) at N.Y. YANKEES (-160) (Series Betting)

The New York Yankees are favored to be no worse than tied for first place in the AL East after this  three game series with Baltimore. Though C.C. Sabathia and Michael Pineda are hardly sure winners in the first two contests, they would appear more reliable that either Kevin Gausman and Ubaldo Jimenez, who have ERA’s close to six or higher. With the Yanks 13-7 as hosts in this series, have to like them in the Bronx.

Betting Trend – 80% backing New York

Doug’s VPID Take – New York wins

MLB – COLORADO (+150) at ARIZONA (-170) (Series Betting)

Arizona leads Colorado by a half-game in the standings in the shocking NL West. The D-Backs are good-sized favorite in part because they are 11-3 at Chase Field and scoring an absurd 7.2 RPG there. The Rockies starting pitchers and bullpen was ravaged for 46 runs by Washington in their last series, which makes them vulnerable in this spot. With how Arizona is playing and almost certainly a favorite in all three confrontations, have the backs the Snakes.

Betting Trend – 95% backing Arizona

Doug’s VPID Take – Arizona wins

MLB – CHIC. CUBS (-120) at BOSTON (+100)  (Series Betting)

This is the most fascinating series of the weekend and all the money lines should be very tight. The Cubs are favored overall and are a Game 1 choice of oddmakers with Jake Arrieta vs. Drew Pomeranz. Maybe the Cubs lose this contest, but hard not to like Chicago and Arrieta are 16-1 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. The other two pitching matchups look close, thus, we will back Chicago because of potential opening game edge and the fact they have better offense.

Betting Trend – 75% backing Boston

Doug’s VPID Take – Chicago wins

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 100-110-4 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 48-51-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 142-159-5 ATS

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If this were a boxing match or MMA fight, this would be considered a likely first round knockout. But it’s not and those betting baseball have ponder if the Mets can rise up against Washington.

New York has lost 10 of 11, six in a row, which included being swept last weekend at home against the Nationals. Washington has been the polar opposite in winning 10 of 11 and it just seems like they are scoring as often as their basketball counterparts, the Wizards.

Do the Mets have any chance against the MLB odds?

Pitching Matchup – deGrom vs. Scherzer

Jacob deGrom (0-1, 2.55 ERA) is being called upon to changes the fortunes of the Mets. While others on the New York staff might generate more notoriety, manager Terry Collins does have a starting pitcher who wants the ball and can provide as many consistent innings as deGrom. He can work his mid-90′s fastball on both sides of the plate, plus north and south and his breaking pitches are the best on the staff. deGrom is 2-3 with a 3.33 ERA in eight career starts against Washington.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	With the Metropolitans in a major slump, about the last pitcher they need to face is Max Scherzer (3-1, 1.95), Besides being off to another great start, Mad Max is 6-3 with a 1.99 ERA in 12 career games against the Mets (11 starts). It would make sense for New York to get as many left-handed batters they can to face Scherzer, since righties are batting an absurd .091 against him.

Nationals Offense is “Sick”, the Mets are just Sick

Washington’s is coming off their best-ever 10-game road trip at 9-1 and while Colorado is a hitter’s paradise, not everyone scores 46 runs in four games like the Nationals did.

 

CONTINUE READING

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www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Just think of all those Corona commercials over the years and find that place of living life and making money as a sports bettor by going to www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com and get started with our Special Offer of 7 days for $9.00 and Get Ready to Start Counting the Cash! (Auto renewal subscription, cancel any time)

Want more info, call or text me, Doug, at 480.205.9388 or email me at dougupstone@vegasproinsidersdaily.com and enjoy betting sports again.

 

Current Hot Streaks:

* Sean Higgs No.5 in 2017 at SportsCapping and No. 1 in MLB and No.2 in NHL

* Kyle Hunter 40-21 NBA Run

* Tony George 7-3 NBA Play Run

* Doug Upstone 218-163 in MLB since 2016 (up $4,000)

* Jim Mack 16-9 Best Bet Run




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Meaningful Line Moves and Free Picks for April 27th

April 27, 2017

Yesterday, the NHL numbers were moving, but not so far today and for line moves we will instead focus on the NBA Playoffs and night baseball. We also have the biggest line moves on the diamond. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (89-52 of late), to see what [...]

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How to Bet the Most Controversial Players in the 2017 NFL Draft

April 27, 2017

It is almost here – “With the first pick in the 2017 NFL Draft the Cleveland Browns……don’t know who to take.” OK, having a little fun at the Browns expense and why not, they have earned it. Talked to a few friends who work behind the counters in Nevada taking bets and they are anticipating [...]

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2017 Playbook NFL Mock Draft

April 27, 2017

By Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com Now that the draft combine and private player workouts have concluded, it’s on to the 2017 NFL Draft. Last year we accurately names 24 of the 31 players selected in the first round, with 8 players selected by their designated teams. Here is Playbook’s assessment on the 2017 NFL Draft [...]

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2017 NFL Draft Odds… You’re On The Clock

April 27, 2017

By Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com The NFL Draft has tuned into a spectacle, and with it ESPN will be in Philadelphia for the 2017 event broadcasting live three consecutive days of the event. That’s not the big news. The fact that you can legally wager for the first time on the Draft in Las Vegas [...]

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Compelling Line Moves and Free Picks for April 26

April 26, 2017

Early on all quiet in the NBA Playoffs for line moves, but not so in the beginning of next round for the Stanley Cup Playoffs and we will discuss. We also have the biggest line moves on the diamond. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (87-50 of late), [...]

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