Let’s get to it on a very busy Wednesday! With business to attend to tomorrow, I will include the present line moves for the NFL on Thursday in today’s article. along with baseball this evening. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (205-172) to see what we are thinking. See you back here Friday.

MLB – (909) ATLANTA at (910) COLORADO 8:40 ET  FSSO (side and total)

Cannot say I am one bit surprised the total went from 11.5 to 11, with Mike Foltynewicz (10-7, 4.29 ERA) going against Jon Gray (4-2, 4.92). Both 25-year olds are good pitchers and their ERA’s are not indicative of their actual ability. However, Colorado has really sprung up as a favorite from starting position of -155; they have been launched to -180. Though Atlanta won last night 4-3, that was their first victory in 10 tries at Coors Field.

Betting Trend – 90% backing Colorado

Doug’s VPID - Colorado wins and Under

MLB – (917) DETROIT at (918) TEXAS  8:05 ET FSD, FSSW

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		The Texas bats are heating up like the temperatures and humidity in Dallas and the total has climbed from 10.5 to 11 in this AL affair. Scratch the Dallas Keuchel gem on Sunday and in the Rangers six other contests played recently, they are averaging 6.5 RPG. It would appear Texas would not have problem knocking around Detroit’s Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 6.69). Cole Hamels (7-1, 3.31) will most likely be less generous, seeing he has not given up an earned run in 18 innings, but he is still 23-10 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or lower since 2015.

Betting Trend - 79% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Over

MLB – (925) ST. LOUIS at (926) BOSTON  7:10 ET  FSMW, NESN

Lance Lynn (10-6, 3.12) has put together a strong season for St. Louis, but many feel that will not be good enough versus a blistering Boston bunch that has won 11 of 13. The Cardinals have flown from +125 to +140 at Fenway. While Lynn would seem to give the Redbirds a real chance for a win, the Red Sox are a sensational 24-5 at home in inter-league games the last three seasons.

Betting Trend – 80% backing Boston

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Boston

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NFLX – Thursday – (401) BALTIMORE at (402) MIAMI  7:00 ET

Both of these AFC offenses did enough with their backup quarterbacks playing to win and cover last week. Both teams reached 23 points, however, those betting football are not sure that happens again and dropped the total from 39.5 to 38. Baltimore’s team defense was in top form against Washington, holding them to 138 total yards and they are 9-1 UNDER after allowing 50 or less rushing yards in last game.

Betting Trend – 88% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Under

NFLX – Thursday – (405) TAMPA BAY at (406) JACKSONVILLE  8:00 ET  ESPN

This could be a rather intriguing contest, as these teams scrimmaged on Tuesday and several skirmishes broke out. The wagering action is following Tampa Bay, who has gone from +2.5 to a Pick. This likely follows the path of preseason games where one team underperforms, the Buccaneers in this case (23-13 loser at Cincinnati), while the other club overachieves, like Jacksonville last week in 31-24 upset at New England where the offense piled up 447 total yards. This also fits a very solid preseason system for Tampa Bay, as road teams having scored 14 points or less in last game, facing opponent who scored 30 points or more, are 25-8 ATS.

Betting Trend – 67% backing Tampa Bay

Doug’s VPID TakeTampa Bay covers

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 158-180-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 111-89-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 261-235-13 ATS

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It is time to look at some midweek baseball totals action. We have quite a few day games and one in particular in the National League looks inviting as does a couple of contests under the lights.

It was a tough day for me against MLB odds on totals and I will do everything I can to have bounce back today and improve on 13-10 record of late.

Betting on History in Minneapolis  

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		When it comes to making MLB picks or betting on any sports for that matter, there are streak bettors. These people are the polar opposite of contrarian bettors, looking at information and “riding the tide”. This strategy would seem to be a good one to deploy with Cleveland and Minnesota again tonight, with the total set at 9. This season, the Indians and Twins are 11-3 UNDER and since 2015 when playing at Target Field, they are 18-6 UNDER. Though the Tribe’s Carlos Carrasco (11-5, 3.83 ERA) is having a much better season than Kyle Gibson (6-9, 6.02), Carrasco is 8-4 UNDER lifetime against Minnesota and Gibson is 4-1 UNDER in his last five starts versus Cleveland, including 3-0 UNDER in 2017.

Free MLB Pick – Play Under

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It is back to baseball for a couple days on line moves and we are more than alright with that. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (205-168) to see what we are thinking. See you back here Wednesday.

MLB – (951) SAN FRANCISCO at (952) MIAMI 7:10 ET  CSBA,FSFL

As good as Madison Bumgarner (2-5 with a 2.71 ERA) is, even he cannot save this dumpster fire he is a part of in San Francisco, with the Giants 2-8 in Mad Bum’s starts and 0-5 on the road. Little wonder San Fran slipped from a -135 favorite to -110 or less. Though Dan Straily (7-8, 3.74) does not bring seemingly a lot to the party, he frequently places his team in a position to win and he is 13-4 versus a NL team with an slugging percentage .390 or worse in the second half of the season the last two years. (Team’s Record)

Betting Trend – 53% backing Miami

Doug’s VPID - Lean Miami

MLB – (961) TAMPA BAY at (962) TORONTO  7:07 ET SUN, RSN (side and total)

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	Thoroughly puzzled by these line moves in this AL East encounter. Toronto has crumbled from a -140 fave to -125 and the total has risen from 9 to 9.5. The latter is where I will start. Tampa Bay has scored 12 runs in 10 games and takes on a suddenly scalding Marco Estrada (5-7, 4.85) who has an ERA under 2.00 in his last four starts. I totally understand Estrada has an ERA over 10 in three home starts against the Rays in 2017. Swing and miss Tampa Bay is not sending out a young David Price in Blake Snell (0-6, 4.69) and the Rays are 4-16 after scoring four runs or less in five straight contests.

Betting Trend - 75% backing Toronto, 73% on Over

Doug’s VPID TakeToronto wins and Under

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MLB – (969) BALTIMORE at (970) SEATTLE  10:10 ET  MASN2, RTNW

Given the circumstances, one the most unusual lowering of totals I have seen in awhile. Seattle is starting 31-year old Andrew Albers, who they acquired from Atlanta after James Paxton went on 10-day DL. Albers was 12-3 with a 2.61 ERA in 26 games (17 starts) in the International League this season and has never quite stuck in the majors. He will face Wade Miley (6-9, 5.19) for the Orioles, who after being among the worst starters in baseball has 2.12 ERA in his last three outings. I have no idea what to think about this game other than my numbers have it 10.6 runs.

Betting Trend – 74% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakeThe absolute slightest of leans on the Over

MLB – (979) CHIC. WHITE SOX at (970) L.A. DODGERS  10:10 ET  WGN, SNLA

With a money line of -360 on Los Angeles, it is not exactly like you would be doing anything more than fishing for a money line or run line play. Instead, our attention is drawn to the total which is up from 8 to 8.5. The Dodgers, if not bored, liked they seemed over the weekend against San Diego, should bash around Miguel Gonzalez (6-10, 4.85) and a parade of Chicago bullpen pitchers, who mostly have more innings because of all the trades the White Sox made. Alex Wood starts for L.A. and he is 7-0 OVER vs. teams outscored by 0.5 or more runs a game, with average total score 11.6 runs.

Betting Trend – 59% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Over

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 156-177-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 111-89-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 258-233-13 ATS

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The Cubs went to four outfields last night to stop Joey Votto of Cincinnati. It did not work as he doubled any way. I will attempt to do better than that against the baseball totals for a Tuesday.

Last night I was 1-1-1 with my third Push in two days, however, the approach I’m taking in trying to beat the MLB odds and improve my recent 13-6 record, is better than Justin Bieber trying to hunt down a fitness employee in Savannah, Georgia on Instagram.

Cement Jungle Should Find Runs Scarce

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		With Jacob deGrom (3.21) facing Sonny Gray (3.39), it seems safe to say there will be quite a few more people in the bar at Trump Tower in New York than on base at Yankee Stadium tonight. Both pitchers have been dialed in for some time now and with the total at eight, this does not appear anything they cannot overcome. While both the Mets and Yankees are capable of hanging crooked numbers in several games, they have become inconsonant. For example, the Yanks are 18-9 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a five- game span, while the Metropolitans are 19-7 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season since last year. Only concern, the bullpens.

Free MLB Pick – Play Under

 

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The NFL regular season is right around the corner and college football is even closer. That means it is time to – Start Building Your Bankroll When Betting Football!

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Sean Higgs 67-42, 61.4% CFB Top Plays since Sept. 2016 (Documented)

Sean Higgs 10-6 NFL Preseason in 2016 at Sportscapping.com

Dennis Macklin No.2 in College Football in 2016 at Sportscapping.com

Dennis Macklin No.3 in NFL Football in 2016 at Sportscapping.com

Dennis Macklin No.1 in Football 2016 at Sportscapping.com at +47.78 units

Doug Upstone No.1 in NFL in 2015 (SportsEye.com and CappersMonitor.com)

Doug Upstone 72-52, 58% in NFL Preseason since 2003 (Documented)

Jim Mack NFL Best Bets 73-47, 60.8% (Vegas Insider Newsletter)

Jim Mack CFB Best Bets 65-47, 58.0% (Vegas Insider Newsletter)

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In Search of Total(s) Success on Sunday

August 13, 2017

One would think with 16 games to choose in baseball, it would be relatively easy to come up at least three plays. Yet, at least from this perspective, that is not the case on this day. In looking over the matchups, what I kept running into was a starting pitcher or team that was either [...]

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2017 SEC Conference Football Betting Preview

August 13, 2017

Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com has 2017 SEC Conference Football Betting Preview Rolling With The Tide Alabama finished one second shy of winning its fifth national championship in eight years in a heart-breaking loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoff title game last season. The SEC has won the National Championship eight times in the last 11 years, [...]

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2017 Pac-12 Conference Football Betting Preview

August 13, 2017

Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com has 2017 Pac-12 Conference Football Betting Preview It’s Getting Warm Around Here If it appears that things are warming up in the desert these days it’s because they are.  Global warming aside, Arizona and Arizona State are just 20-19 and 21-17 respectively since 2014. That puts head coaches Rich Rodriguez and Paul [...]

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Weekend Line Moves and Free Picks for Aug. 11-13

August 11, 2017

We have all kinds of action in line moves for you this weekend! We have NFL preseason football, baseball game action and some MLB series wagering on two high profile teams. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (202-165) to see what we are thinking. See you back here [...]

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Important September AFC Inter-Divisional Battles

August 11, 2017

It is coming closer every day and you can feel it! NFL football is creeping up and I know the majority of you reading this cannot wait and have loaded your wagering accounts or have the money set aside. Here at Sportsbookreview.com, we are also fired up and have broken down early games involving inter-divisional [...]

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