Back in the saddle today and we have very rare day of three NBA games with significant sides action for line moves. Also have a large totals move in the NIT going tonight. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (31-16-1 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (751) CHARLOTTE at (752) ORLANDO 7:05 ET  FSSE, FSFL

With both Eastern Conference teams winning twice after losing streaks, the important money is backing Charlotte on the road, who went from -4 to -5.5 at Orlando. The concern about the Magic is despite a high volume of shot attempts, their accuracy is leaves something to be desired, having shot under 41 percent or less in five of their past seven outings. While the Hornets could definitely sting anyone making NBA picks, teams like Orlando as home underdogs, revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off a close home win by three points or less, are 6-26 ATS.

Betting Trend – 54% backing Charlotte

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Charlotte

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NBA – (753) INDIANA at (754) BOSTON 7:35 ET  FSMW, CSN-NE

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Though Indiana has oddly alternated wins and losses in their past 15 contests (the last was a win), they are drawing support in what could be a losing situation for them. The Pacers have gone down from +8.5 to +7 in spite of the fact they are 11-24 and 13-22 ATS away from home. Though Boston has the better club and is at home, the recent seven-game history of this series has only seen a spread as high of four points, with most of the outcomes within reason and no blowouts. While it seem risky to be giving a touchdown, Indy is 3-12 ATS in road games off a home win this season, losing by 10.5 PPG.

Betting Trend – 59% backing Indiana

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Boston

NBA – (755) DETROIT at (756) CHICAGO 8:05 ET  FSD, WGN (local)

With neither of these Central Division teams playing well in the last couple weeks, it was eyebrow rising to see the Detroit shifted from +1.5 to -1.5 versus Chicago on the road. The Pistons have dropped four of five and are a pathetic 11-23 and 12-22 ATS in the traveling uniforms. The Bulls might have covered four of past five contests, but at whatever number they would fall in this range, they do not exactly inspire confidence with recent 2-8 SU mark. Probably best to leave this game alone, but if you must wager, know that Detroit is 4-15 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Betting Trend – 66% backing Detroit

Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Chicago

CBB – (769) CS-BAKERSFIELD at (770) UT-ARLINGTON 9:00 ET  ESPNU

Cal-State Bakersfield was won two games outright on the NIT road thanks to playing outstanding defense like they have all year. The Roadrunners have held opposing teams to 63.1 PPG on just 37 percent shooting. Those betting college basketball are unsure CSB can keep it going. Why I say this is despite the side action being rather stable, the total has jumped from 138 to 143.5, which would seem to favor UT-Arlington, who averages 85 PPG at home. However, Bakersfield has played four consecutive OVER’s in spite of playing great defense, but the highest total has been 135.5, nothing close to this number.

Betting Trend – 78% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take - Lean Under

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 66-77-2 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 29-40-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 99-113-3 ATS

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The Boston Bruins have a proud history and though they have won six Stanley Cups since 1927, this are in some circles more know for coming up short, has lost 12 Cup Finals in the same length time.

As the Bruins were laboring again this season, they fired head coach Claude Julien and promoted Bruce Cassidy onto the hot seat. With Boston fighting to make playoffs, they responded under Cassidy and were 12-4 SU under his direction from Feb. 4 – Mar. 15.

However, in the days since Boston has lost three straight and remembrances of last year are coming back like previous nightmares for B’s backers.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Last season in a similar scenario, the Bruins collapsed like a folding chair, dropping nine of the last dozen contests to miss the postseason.

With goalie Tuukka Rask not sharp and the defense worse, Boston has permitted 14 goals in this losing streak and those making NHL picks are watching closely. They have lost three key contests in March, two to Ottawa, who is just ahead of them in the standings and one to Toronto who is gaining on them.

In theory the Bruins should make the playoffs with seven games on home ice among the nine still on the docket, but they will face top teams like Chicago and Washington, along with three critical battles versus Ottawa and two with Tampa Bay.

The NHL odds still generally favor Boston, but do you really want to back them right now?

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Last night Jim Mack and Doug Upstone were a combined 4-0 on Best Bets at www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com  and that was coming off a Sunday where VPID Inner Circle members were 7-3 on Best Bets.




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Free NBA System Play – Play Against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, with the home team having three straight games making 47% or more of their shots. (32-8 ATS, 80.0%, L20Y)

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The game of baseball has given way to specialization like so many every day things in our lives. And while this has increased our skill and knowledge in certain areas, some others are just tried and true.

A great example is having a bullpen that can shut the door late in games to close out wins or give the offense a chance to win a tie game or come from behind. While there are no 100 percent absolutes in baseball or any sport, what can often makes a good bullpen great is terrific starting pitching.

When a manager knows he knows he has three starting pitchers that can regularly reach the seven or eight innings and two back of the rotation guys that can take their clubs into the sixth or seventh innings, he can build a bullpen with very specific roles and place particular pitchers in situations where they can produce the best results.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	Case in point, here were the Top 8 teams in order for lowest starting pitching ERA from 2016.

1) Chicago Cubs

2) Washington

3) N.Y. Mets

4) Toronto

5) San Francisco

6) L.A. Dodgers

7) Cleveland

8) Boston

 

If you recall last year’s 10 playoff teams, every single one of these teams were in the postseason. Texas ended up 16th in ERA and Baltimore was 24th and both were quickly dismissed from the playoffs.

This is not to say this will happen every year, because it certainly will not with the ebb and flow of change and various aspects altered over time. Nonetheless, with the end of the Steroid Era and fascination with home runs, there has been a massive crop of pitchers who have tremendous heat on fastballs with movement, along way better than average secondary pitches.

While it is impossible to forecast injuries, when looking at the starting staffs today, we will pull out the Magic 8-ball and go with Top 10 list and hope the god of MLB odds does not take us down. Please note this is in no particular order, just how they popped into my head.

New York Mets

San Francisco

Cleveland

Chicago Cubs

Washington

Boston

Los Angeles Dodgers

Houston

Toronto

Arizona

 

All told, I would expect at least seven of these teams to reach the playoffs as long as the pitchers starting the year are around for the majority of the year for their respective teams.

As anyone knows, making MLB picks in March is an inexact science, nevertheless, if you are making bets on futures wagers for division or league titles and the World Series, having an fully armed staff places the odds more in your favor.

 

Doug Upstone wrote this for www.sportsbookreview.com

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It turns out the South Region was the only one of the four regions to advance all of its top seeds to the Sweet 16. Here are their current odds to win four more games and become NCAA basketball champions.

North Carolina +500 (odds courtesy of 5Dimes)

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		The Tar Heels and Kansas have the lowest college basketball odds to be crowned champions at +500 on the evening of April the 3rd. North Carolina barely survived Arkansas and was clearly bothered by their defensive pressure. Looking ahead, Butler is the most fundamentally sound team in the region and plays tremendously well together. Nevertheless, Roy Williams squad is the most talented team remaining in the field and while that guarantees them nothing, having the best collection of players helps your chances. Unless an injury were to occur to the Tar Heels, they will be favored in every contest the rest of the way and deserve to be the odds on favorite.

Kentucky +1200

Though Kentucky was hardly impressive to their two victories against Northern Kentucky and Wichita State, the Wildcats proved they have made the adjustment of being forced to play at a slower pace and finding ways to win games. Kentucky is tied with SEC partner Florida as the fifth choice to win it all for college basketball picks. At present, their road includes UCLA, North Carolina, Gonzaga or Arizona and Kansas. Honestly, not sure who would survive that road of any of the remaining teams in the field. John Calipari’s club has exceptional ability in spots, but seems a real long shot to win four times starting from this spot.

 

CONTINUE READING

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Betting Baseball, Teams Poised for Hot or Frigid Starts

March 20, 2017

As the regular season approaches, those betting baseball start to move ahead to thinking about the opening weeks and look at schedules that could provide opportunity to cash winning tickets. While it is impossible to know the frame of mind a team will be in once the season begins, the more astute bettor working the [...]

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March Madness Line Moves and Free Picks for St. Patrick’s Day

March 17, 2017

We had some very good games yesterday, but no real shocking results. Nonetheless, we have all the largest line moves and if Thursday is quiet, Friday usually delivers a few stunners. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (25-13-1 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you [...]

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March Madness Line Moves and Free Picks for Mar. 16th

March 16, 2017

Of course what everyone cares about is March Madness today and our line moves article will reflect that today. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (23-11-1 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow. CBB – (715) VIRGINIA TECH vs. (716) WISCONSIN  9:40 [...]

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March Madness – Want Some $$$$$$

March 16, 2017

Money does not fall of trees, you have to go get it. That is why VPID Inner Circle members are Making Money Daily! They went  here, VegasProInsidersDaily.com and signed up for a month to start raking in the cash! Join today and here is what you can expect….. Top Plays from Documented Experts Tony George on 66% [...]

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Important Line Moves and Free Picks for Mar. 15th

March 15, 2017

Just absolutely crazy line moves on totals in the smaller postseason tournaments and we will break down the biggest one. Also, we line moves in the NBA and a First 4 game in the NCAA Tournament. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (22-8-1 of late), to see what [...]

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