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The L.A. Dodgers are back in first place in the top heavy NL West, with Colorado just 1.5 games behind and nipping at their heels. Those betting baseball understand this is litmus test for the Rockies.

Having just lost home series to Arizona in which their pitchers were bludgeoned for 29 runs, there are potential signs Colorado young pitchers who were thrown into the fire are wilting a bit. With Los Angeles hotter than a mouthful of habanera peppers in winning 12 of 13 and the last seven in row, rugged test for the Rocks.

Speaking of tests, I will have several at this location making MLB picks this weekend starting with this conflict, trying to better a 19-12 stretch.

Pitching Matchup – Freeland vs. Wood

Kyle Freeland (8-4, 3.32 ERA) was the eighth pick in the 2014 draft and in his rookie season he’s emerged as Colorado’s ace with Jon Gray still sidelined. Freeland relies on a heavy sinker, which induced ground balls 60 percent of the time. When asked what he would like to improve on, he quickly states “walks” with 32 in just over 81 innings. In two starts versus Los Angeles, Freeland has a 1.80 ERA, both Rockies victories.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Alex Wood (7-0, 1.90) is the first Dodgers hurler to be unbeaten after 10 starts since Orel Hershiser in 1985. Wood has always been well regarded by scouts, but quite injury-prone and extremely inconsistent until this season.

 

CONTINUE READING

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A rather thin day for line moves with so many day games, thus we will also look at the opener in the CFL in which the point spread has been adjusted. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (158-113, 58.4%), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

MLB – (955) ARIZONA at (956) COLORADO  3:10 ET  FSAZ

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		The series winner is on the line for two teams that were thought to be improved, but instead have show they will be strong factors in the National League all season. Colorado was a -130 favorite to take Game 3, but they have steadily come down to -115 or less depending on the sportsbook. Antonio Senzatela (9-2, 4.10 ERA) has an excellent record, but is showing signs of fraying with a 6.61 ERA in his last three starts and being taken deep six times. Arizona counters with Zack Godley (2-1, 2.34). This is extremely tough call and I will just the slightest lean with the Snakes because I prefer their pitching overall.

Betting Trend – 93% backing Colorado

Doug’s VPID TakeSlight lean Arizona

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MLB – (969) CLEVELAND at (970) BALTIMORE  7:05 ET  STO, MASN

In Mike Clevinger’s (2-3, 3.89) and Wade Miley’s (3-4, 4.29) past three starts, they have ERA’s of 5.52 and 12.65 respectively and the total has climbed from 10 to 10.5 because of it. That is in direction opposition to how the these teams have recently played at Camden Yards, where the UNDER 7-1-1. In these teams last seven contests, they have scored a collective total of 12.1 RPG, yet I found Cleveland is 8-0 UNDER having won four of their last five games and will lean that direction.

Betting Trend – 79% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Under

CFL – (351) SASKATCHEWAN at (352) MONTREAL  7:30 ET  ESPNN

It is the first battle of a new CFL season and Montreal has been bet up from -6.5 to -7.5. Both clubs are coming off losing seasons and are desperate to start out on the right foot. Though the Alouettes have dominated Saskatchewan at home with an 18-4 SU record, they are only 10-12 ATS in those contests. I have an underdog system in the CFL relating to teams that have had weak pass defenses and squads like the Roughriders are 24-5 ATS in this situation, winning by 2.5 PPG.

Betting Trend – 55% backing Saskatchewan

Doug’s VPID TakeSaskatchewan covers

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 131-141-8 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 86-75-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 211-198-11 ATS

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With the way it was looking, it appeared all the line moves it would be totals, but near the end of the assigned numbers for baseball, we found a money line with significant alteration. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (156-111, 58.4%), to see what we are thinking. See you back here Friday.

MLB – (913) N.Y. METS at (914) L.A. DODGERS  10:10 ET  ESPN

With the New York Mets starting a journeymen in pitcher Tyler Pill (0-2, 3.75 ERA) and the L.A. Dodgers averaging 7 RPG in their last 12 contests, the total has climbed from 8.5 to 9. This could be further supported by the Dodgers Rich Hill (5-5) having a 5.15 ERA. My question is New York is averaging 3.3 RPG on this road trip and Los Angeles has the best bullpen to support Hill in the National League.

Betting Trend – 97% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Over

MLB – (921) TORONTO at (922) TEXAS  8:05 ET  RSN, FSSW

Not sure about you but a Joe Biagini (0-6, 4.26) vs. Tyson Ross (1-0, 3.18) matchup sounds like a lot of runs. I am not the only one that thinks this way and the high total of 10.5 has shot to 11. The Texas offense has rung up 35 runs in the past five games and Toronto’s home run based offense has come around. I’m not thrilled about this high of figure and found the Blue Jays are 76-45 UNDER when the total is 11 or higher in the past 20 years.

Betting Trend – 55% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Under

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MLB – (923) CHIC. WHITE SOX at (924) MINNESOTA  8:10 ET  CSN-C, FSNO

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Those betting baseball were aware of the talents  of Jose Berrios (6-1, 2.74) for Minnesota and he is coming into his own at just 23. What everyone is not necessary aware of is how effective 25-year old David Holmberg (1-0, 2.63) has been for the Chicago. In 12 appearances (four starts), opposing hitters have just .171 average against the lefty. With this, the total has tumbled from 10 to 9.5. However, the White Sox offense is hot and the Twins is certainly capable, plus the Pale Hose are 18-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since last year.

Betting Trend – 85% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Over

MLB – (927) DETROIT at (928) SEATTLE  10:10 ET   FSD, RTNW

Seattle’s James Paxton (5-2, 3.23) first start coming off the DL was impressive, but that has not been the case on the next three occasions, with a wayward 9.94 ERA. In spite of this, he and the Mariners have been bumped up from -127 to -145 over Detroit and Justin Verlander (4-4, 4.50 ERA). For those making MLB picks, you have to consider the Tigers are 14-22 on the road and Seattle is 22-13 under their retractable roof. I will lean with the M’s because they are 11-2 at home vs. a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or higher.

Betting Trend – 64% backing Detroit

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Seattle

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 131-139-8 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 84-75-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 207-198-11 ATS

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Betting Baseball, Dodgers to Dominate Mets on ESPN Wednesday

June 21, 2017

How do the New York Mets stack up against the National League’s best teams? In the midst of playing Washington and the L.A. Dodgers, not so hot with present 1-5 record the last six days. Chances are the losing will continue with Los Angeles as hot as the temperatures out west, being on an 11-1 [...]

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Today’s Line Moves and Free Picks for June 20th

June 20, 2017

For Tuesday we have five line moves to cover and we will ignore two significant ones pertaining to the Dodgers and Yankees, since they were already chalky favorites and have kept growing. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (155-107, 59.1% of late), to see what we are thinking. [...]

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Betting Baseball, Miami Marlins Bullpen the Difference Over Washington

June 20, 2017

If you are betting baseball or just a fan of the Washington Nationals, you are aware of wordsmith and Hall of Famer Yogi Berra’s sayings with how this team is once again doing enough to frustrate. It was “déjà vu all over again” last night as Washington blew their 12th save, giving up a six-run [...]

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Betting Baseball, Colorado Completes the Sweep of San Francisco

June 18, 2017

Colorado goes after the four-game series sweep against San Francisco this afternoon. If you are betting baseball, you have to like the Rockies chances when using the broom today. Given the difference in the two teams, one might expect the Rockies to be a larger favorite, but we will explain in the – Pitching Matchup [...]

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Betting Baseball – Do Not Discount Minnesota’s Woes at Target Field Against Cleveland

June 18, 2017

By virtue of winning the first two games of the series, Cleveland has caught Minnesota at the top of the AL Central. Those betting baseball will have to decide what they like for the series finale. Who was actually in first place this Sunday we don’t know because of the contest on Saturday evening, but [...]

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