We are headed into the first football weekend of October and we have the early college football line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (257-205 of late and recent 41-31 mark), when posted, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow for NFL.
Tumultuous start of the season for Notre Dame at 1-3, firing their defensive coordinator and coach Brian Kelly announcing every position is up for grabs for those who want to play with passion. This has bettors skittish and they sent the not so Fighting Irish from -13 to -10. Syracuse has been retooled into passing team and is 6th nationally, with Notre Dame is 94th in pass defense.
Betting Trend – 64% backing Notre Dame
Coaches do not talk to players about point spreads but they do talk about ‘respect’ and with Clemson having been taken from -3 to +2 at home against Louisville, the Tigers position coaches have a lot to communicate forward. The Cardinals have yet to show any weakness of any kind, thus, hard to say those betting football are wrong.
Betting Trend – 62% backing Louisville
Two Pac-12 teams off incredibly disappointing losses, however, the betting action has all been one-sided with UCLA shoved from -10 to -13. This certainly seems like a lot of points and you have to weigh the defensive weakness of Arizona along with the Bruins disappointment of nearly having Stanford beaten. Know this; the Wildcats are 6-17 ATS away after gaining 6.75 or YPP.
Betting Trend – 79% backing UCLA
Oklahoma might be 1-2, but there are still those who have faith in them and the Sooners have been moved from -1 to -3.5 at Fort Worth. From pure better perspective, taking Oklahoma on the half point hook seems risky and it might be better served to take a look at TCU even with their flaws and the fact they are 8-0 ATS coming off a road win.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Oklahoma
Most Washington State games are about four hours anyways, this one could be longer with two potent offense and two defenses that have more holes than a fishing net. With this in mind, the total for the Pac-12 encounter has been sent from 72 to 75. Who is going to argue with this and Oregon is 6-0 OVER after gaining 525 or more yards in three straight games.
Betting Trend – 94% backing Over
How bad is Fresno State? UNLV just lost at home to Idaho and the Bulldogs went from +10 to +13 against the Rebels. On the surface this is tricky, but Fresno State is 4-15 ATS on the road after suffering a home loss. Besides, is UNLV really that bad they could blow another great opportunity? io
Betting Trend – 64% backing Fresno State
Not aware of an injury, thus a bit surprised to see Nevada sinking from -6 to -3.5 on the Islands. Nevada has won seven straight in this matchup and is 5-1-1 ATS. If anything the Rainbow Warriors appear weaker and with Hawai’i 0-7 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in last outing, the Wolf Pack have added value.
Betting Trend – 59% backing Hawai’i
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 205-180-2
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 145-116-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 357-317-3